| Journal: | Revista de economia politica |
| Database: | CLASE |
| System number: | 000280414 |
| ISSN: | 0101-3157 |
| Authors: | Oreiro, Jose Luis1 Ono, Fabio Hideki2 |
| Institutions: | 1Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Economia, Rio de Janeiro. Brasil 2Universidade Federal do Parana, Departamento de Economia, Curitiba, Parana. Brasil |
| Year: | 2007 |
| Season: | Ene-Mar |
| Volumen: | 27 |
| Number: | 1 |
| Pages: | 82-107 |
| Country: | Brasil |
| Language: | Portugués |
| Document type: | Artículo |
| Approach: | Analítico, descriptivo |
| English abstract | A post-keynesian macro-dynamic model of simulation. The objective of this article is to present the structure and the simulation results of a one-sector macro-dynamic model that embeds some elements of the post-keynesian theory. The computational simulation of the model replicates some important features of capitalist dynamics as the phenomenon of cyclical growth, the long-run stability of the profit rate and functional distribution of income, the maintenance of idle-capacity in the long-run and the occurrence of a single episode of deep fall in real economic activity, which is in accordance with the rarity character of great crashes in the history of capitalism. Moreover, the simulation results show that a great reduction in inflation rate will be followed by an increase of financial fragility, increasing the like-hood of a great depression. As a policy advice derived from the simulation results, we can state that the Central Bank should never promote big reductions in inflation rate |
| Disciplines: | Economía |
| Keyword: | Teorías económicas, Modelos econométricos, Keynesianismo, Política monetaria, Modelos de simulación, Inflación, Bancos centrales |
| Full text: | Texto completo (Ver HTML) |
