Regional inflation dynamics and inflation targeting. The case of Peru



Document title: Regional inflation dynamics and inflation targeting. The case of Peru
Journal: Journal of applied economics
Database: CLASE
System number: 000430307
ISSN: 1667-6726
Authors: 1
2
Institutions: 1Universidad del Pacífico, Lima. Perú
2Superintendencia de Banca, Seguros y AFP, Departamento de Investigación Económica, Lima. Perú
Year:
Season: Nov
Volumen: 18
Number: 2
Pages: 199-224
Country: Argentina
Language: Inglés
Document type: Artículo
Approach: Aplicado
English abstract The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) has been targeting inflation for more than a decade, using Lima’s inflation as the operational measure. An alternative indicator is countrywide inflation, whose quality and real-time availability have improved substantially. Given these competing measures, two policy questions arise: What have been the implications for national inflation of targeting Lima’s inflation? Would shifting to a national aggregate significantly affect the workings of monetary policy in Peru? To answer these questions, we estimate a large, but parsimonious, error correction model and investigate how regional shocks propagate across the country. The results indicate that a shock to Lima’s inflation is transmitted fast and strongly elsewhere in the country, whereas the effects of shocks in other regions are limited and short-lived. This constitutes supporting evidence to the view that by targeting Lima’s inflation, the BCRP has effectively, albeit indirectly, targeted national inflation
Disciplines: Economía
Keyword: Economía monetaria,
Política económica,
Planificación económica,
Econometría,
Banco Central,
Política monetaria,
Inflación,
Modelo de corrección de errores,
Lima,
Perú
Full text: Texto completo (Ver PDF)