Journal: | Journal of applied economics |
Database: | CLASE |
System number: | 000430307 |
ISSN: | 1667-6726 |
Authors: | Winkelried, Diego1 Gutierrez, José Enrique2 |
Institutions: | 1Universidad del Pacífico, Lima. Perú 2Superintendencia de Banca, Seguros y AFP, Departamento de Investigación Económica, Lima. Perú |
Year: | 2015 |
Season: | Nov |
Volumen: | 18 |
Number: | 2 |
Pages: | 199-224 |
Country: | Argentina |
Language: | Inglés |
Document type: | Artículo |
Approach: | Aplicado |
English abstract | The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) has been targeting inflation for more than a decade, using Lima’s inflation as the operational measure. An alternative indicator is countrywide inflation, whose quality and real-time availability have improved substantially. Given these competing measures, two policy questions arise: What have been the implications for national inflation of targeting Lima’s inflation? Would shifting to a national aggregate significantly affect the workings of monetary policy in Peru? To answer these questions, we estimate a large, but parsimonious, error correction model and investigate how regional shocks propagate across the country. The results indicate that a shock to Lima’s inflation is transmitted fast and strongly elsewhere in the country, whereas the effects of shocks in other regions are limited and short-lived. This constitutes supporting evidence to the view that by targeting Lima’s inflation, the BCRP has effectively, albeit indirectly, targeted national inflation |
Disciplines: | Economía |
Keyword: | Economía monetaria, Política económica, Planificación económica, Econometría, Banco Central, Política monetaria, Inflación, Modelo de corrección de errores, Lima, Perú |
Full text: | Texto completo (Ver PDF) |