Estimación regional de predicciones de lluvia diaria en el estado de Michoacán, México



Document title: Estimación regional de predicciones de lluvia diaria en el estado de Michoacán, México
Journal: Ingeniería hidráulica en México
Database: PERIÓDICA
System number: 000457251
ISSN: 0186-4076
Authors:
Year:
Season: Oct-Dic
Volumen: 24
Number: 4
Pages: 167-176
Country: México
Language: Español
Document type: Nota breve o noticia
Approach: Prospectivo
English abstract Maximum daily rainfall predictions are the basis for designing floo estimation, particularly when rain gauge records and hydrometric information are not available. In the literature, regional methods are preferred when data, show outliers. In this work a description of the pluviometric information used is given, including the procedure followed for deputation in incomplete years. The superregion concept is also described, and the verification procedure is established for state of MIchoacán, Mexico. A contrast between regional and local predictions is formulated. booth estimated through the GEV distribution. Regional predictions were obtained with estimated statistic parameters by weighted transfer, with inverse distance from neighboring stations. Analyzing the numerical results shows the accuracy of the suggested procedure to compute daily rainfall predictions in any place, with return periods of up to 100 years
Disciplines: Geociencias
Keyword: Análisis regional,
México,
Michoacán,
Predicción de lluvia,
Predicción estacional
Keyword: Mexico,
Michoacan,
Rainfall forecasting,
Regional analysis,
Weather forecasting
Document request
Note: The document is shipping cost.









Original documents can be consulted at the Departamento de Información y Servicios Documentales, located in the Annex to the General Directorate of Libraries (DGB), circuito de la Investigación Científica across from the Auditorium Nabor Carrillo, located between the Institutes of Physics and Astronomy. Ciudad Universitaria UNAM. Show map
For more information: Departamento de Información y Servicios Documentales, Tels. (5255) 5622-3960, 5622-3964. E-mail: sinfo@dgb.unam.mx . Monday to Friday from (8 to 16 hrs).