Within-patient temporal variance in MELD score and impact on survival prediction after TIPS creation



Document title: Within-patient temporal variance in MELD score and impact on survival prediction after TIPS creation
Journal: Annals of hepatology
Database: PERIÓDICA
System number: 000415668
ISSN: 1665-2681
Authors: 1
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Institutions: 1University of Illinois Hospital and Health Sciences System, Section of Interventional Radiology, Chicago, Illinois. Estados Unidos de América
Year:
Season: Sep-Oct
Volumen: 12
Number: 5
Pages: 797-802
Country: México
Language: Inglés
Document type: Artículo
Approach: Analítico, descriptivo
English abstract To assess within-patient temporal variability in Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores and impact on outcome prognostication after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation. Material and methods. In this single institution retrospective study, MELD score was calculated in 68 patients (M:F = 42:26, mean age 55 years) at 4 pre-procedure time points (1, 2-6, 7-14, and 15-35 days) before TIPS creation. Medical record review was used to identify 30- and 90-day clinical outcomes. Within-patient variability in pre-procedure MELD scores was assessed using repeated measures analysis of variance, and the ability of MELD scores at different time points to predict post-TIPS mortality was evaluated by comparing area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. Results. TIPS were successfully created for ascites (n = 30), variceal hemorrhage (n = 29), hepatic hydrothorax (n = 8), and portal vein thrombosis (n = 1). Pre-TIPS MELD scores showed significant (P = 0.032) within-subject variance that approached ± 18.5%. Higher MELD scores demonstrated greater variability in sequential scores as compared to lower MELD scores. Overall 30- and 90-day patient mortality was 22% (15/67) and 38% (24/64). AUROC curves showed that most recent MELD scores performed on the day of TIPS had superior predictive capacity for 30- (0.876, P = 0.037) and 90-day (0.805 P = 0.020) mortality compared to MELD scores performed 2-6 or 7-14 days prior. Conclusions. In conclusion, MELD scores show within-patient variability over time, and scores calculated on the day of TIPS most accurately predict risk and should be used for patient selection and counseling
Disciplines: Medicina
Keyword: Cirugía,
Gastroenterología,
Cirrosis hepática,
Derivación intrahepática portosistémica transyugular,
Estadificación,
Sobrevivencia
Keyword: Medicine,
Gastroenterology,
Surgery,
Liver cirrhosis,
Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt,
Staging,
Survival
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