National exchange rate policies and international debt crises: how Brazil did not follow Argentina into a default in 2001-2002



Título del documento: National exchange rate policies and international debt crises: how Brazil did not follow Argentina into a default in 2001-2002
Revista: Revista de economia politica
Base de datos: CLASE
Número de sistema: 000280415
ISSN: 0101-3157
Autores: 1
Instituciones: 1HSBC Bank, Londres. Reino Unido
Año:
Periodo: Ene-Mar
Volumen: 27
Número: 1
Paginación: 60-81
País: Brasil
Idioma: Portugués
Tipo de documento: Artículo
Enfoque: Analítico, descriptivo
Resumen en inglés This paper examines how exchange rate policies and IMF Stand-By Arrangements affect debt crises using econometrics and a comparison between Argentina and Brazil. It refines an existing diagram outlining crisis development to propose crisis prevention strategies. Flexible exchange rate policies reduce a country's probability of default by over 4%, but Stand-By Arrangements increase it by an inconsequential percentage. Unlike Argentina, Brazil avoided a default via a freely-floating exchange rate system, fiscal deficit reduction, and a cooperative and coordinated relationship with the IMF. The results provide policymakers from developing countries with lessons to manage their countries' default risks more effectively
Disciplinas: Economía
Palabras clave: Economía monetaria,
Brasil,
Argentina,
Política monetaria,
Tipo de cambio,
Crisis económica,
Suspensión de pagos,
Política cambiaria,
Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI),
Acuerdos económicos,
Economía nacional
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