Risk assessment for reservoir development under uncertainty



Título del documento: Risk assessment for reservoir development under uncertainty
Revista: Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering
Base de datos: PERIÓDICA
Número de sistema: 000312261
ISSN: 1678-5878
Autores: 1

2
Instituciones: 1Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Mecanica, Campinas, Sao Paulo. Brasil
2PETROBRAS, Brasilia, Distrito Federal. Brasil
Año:
Periodo: Abr-Jun
Volumen: 26
Número: 2
Paginación: 213-217
País: Brasil
Idioma: Inglés
Tipo de documento: Artículo
Enfoque: Experimental
Resumen en inglés Decision analysis applied to petroleum field development is always strongly related to risk due to the uncertainties present in the process. Methodologies to quantify the impact of uncertainties are still not well established due to the amount of variables that have to be considered. The complete analysis usually depends on geological, economical and technological uncertainties that have different degrees of impact in the recovery process and may affect the decision process at different levels depending on the problem, reservoir characteristics, recovery mechanism and stage of field development. This paper shows several details of a methodology that can be applied to complex and simple reservoirs in a reasonable amount of time, discussing especially the influence of the model used to predict recovery, choice of production strategies to be used in the process, number of attributes and type of information necessary to obtain reliable results. A discussion of data integration among geology, reservoir engineering and economic analysis also is presented in order to reduce the amount of information necessary and time for the process. Some results are presented to show the advantages of automation and parallel computing to reduce the total time of the procedure where reservoir simulation is necessary for reservoir performance prediction
Disciplinas: Ingeniería,
Geociencias,
Economía
Palabras clave: Ingeniería petrolera,
Geología,
Petróleo,
Yacimientos,
Riesgos
Keyword: Engineering,
Earth sciences,
Economics,
Petroleum engineering,
Geology,
Petroleum,
Reservoirs,
Risk
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