| Revista: | Vivienda y comunidades sustentables |
| Base de datos: | CLASE |
| Número de sistema: | 000530872 |
| ISSN: | 2594-0198 |
| Autors: | Hernández Cárdenas, Christian1 Avila Ramírez, David Carlos1 |
| Institucions: | 1Universidad de Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Jalisco. México |
| Any: | 2022 |
| Número: | 12 |
| Paginació: | 81-94 |
| País: | México |
| Idioma: | Español |
| Tipo de documento: | Artículo |
| Enfoque: | Analítico, prospectivo |
| Resumen en español | Los gobiernos nacionales concuerdan en mante-ner el calentamiento global por debajo de 1.5° C para evitar los efectos adversos del cambio cli-mático. Sin embargo, sus promesas de reducción de emisiones de la cop26 rebasan en 60% este ob-jetivo. El 65% de las emisiones globales de gases de efecto invernadero (gei) se producen por el consumo doméstico, siendo el consumo energé-tico residencial uno de los mayores emisores. El objetivo es analizar las tendencias del consumo energético residencial en México y compararlas con dos escenarios de electrificación energéti-ca residencial, compatibles con el presupuesto de 1.5° C. Se proyectó un escenario Business As Usual (bau) analizando el consumo energético residencial del periodo 2005-2019, y comparando sus emisiones de gei con el presupuesto de 1.5° C de la trayectoria Low Energy Demand (led) |
| Resumen en inglés | National governments agree to keep global war-ming below 1.5° C to avoid the adverse effects of climate change. However, its promises to reduce emissions at cop26 exceed this objective by 60%. The 65% of global ghg emissions are produced by household consumption, with residential energy consumption being one of the largest emitters. The objective is to analyze the trends of residen-tial energy consumption in Mexico, and compare them with two residential energy electrification scenarios, compatibles with the 1.5° C budget. A Business As Usual (bau) scenario was projected by analyzing residential energy consumption for the 2005-2019 years, and comparing its ghg emis-sions with the 1.5° C budget of the Low Energy Demand (led) trajectory. The electrification of the other two scenarios was calculated by con-verting the energy consumption projected in the bau scenario to electrical energy, ensuring that the emissions factor of the national electricity system (sen) was compatible with the led tra-jectory. The results indicate that current trends would exceed the budget as of 2033, exceeding it by 374% at the end of the century. While the electrification scenarios would require the senemissions factor to decrease exponentially from the current 0.494 tCO2e/MWh to 0.108 tCO2e/MWh in 2100. These results make evident the need to introduce the issue of the 1.5° C emissions budget to the discussion of the electricity reform initiative, to ensure that Mexico’s energy policies are in accordance with international agreements on the matter |
| Disciplines | Ingeniería, Biología |
| Paraules clau: | Ingeniería de energéticos, Ecología, Consumo energético residencial, Energías renovables, Emisiones, Cambio climático, México |
| Text complet: | https://www.revistavivienda.cuaad.udg.mx/index.php/rv/article/view/218/490 |
