Dynamic Linkages between Stock Market and Exchange Rate in MILA Countries: A Markov Regime Switching Approach (2003-2016)



Título del documento: Dynamic Linkages between Stock Market and Exchange Rate in MILA Countries: A Markov Regime Switching Approach (2003-2016)
Revista: Análisis económico - Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana
Base de datos: CLASE
Número de sistema: 000494092
ISSN: 0185-3937
Autors: 1
2
3
Institucions: 1Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Economía, Ciudad de México. México
2Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales, Ciudad de México. México
3Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Química, Ciudad de México. México
Any:
Període: May-Ago
Volum: 33
Número: 83
País: México
Idioma: Inglés
Tipo de documento: Artículo
Enfoque: Analítico, descriptivo
Resumen en inglés This paper aims to analyse the dynamic relationship between the stock market returns and exchange rates movements for the MILA (Mercado Integrado Latinoamericano) countries: Colombia, Chile, México and Peru, over the period 01:2003 to 09:2016. Univariate (Markov Switching-Autoregressive) and multivariate (Markov Switching-Vector Autoregressive) regime-switching models approach are used. The univariate analysis offers evidence indicating that stock returns of the MILA countries evolve according to two different regimes: a low volatility regime and a high volatility regime. The Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive models point out that stock markets have more influence on exchange rate than exchange rate has on stock markets. Results for the Peruvian and Chilean markets contribute evidence about contagion between the stock and the exchange rate markets
Disciplines Economía
Paraules clau: Econometría,
Encadenamientos,
Mercado de valores,
Tipo de cambio,
Mercado Integrado Latinoamericano
Keyword: Econometrics,
Dynamic linkages,
Stock market,
Emerging capital markets,
Latin American Integrated Market (MILA),
Markov Switching VAR,
Exchange rate
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